UCF vs Houston 11/5/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UCF winning 52% of simulations, and Houston 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UCF commits fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Houston wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ronnie Weaver is averaging 85 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. David Piland is averaging 262 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HOU +3.5

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